That Giant Sound You Just Heard Was The Housing Market Starting To Crack

Breaking News Updates – May 14, 2022
That Giant Sound You Just Heard Was The Housing Market Starting To Crack
 BY MICHAEL SNYDER/ECONOMIC COLLAPSE BLOG MAY 14, 2022
More than a decade ago, we witnessed an absolutely unprecedented “housing bubble” in the United States followed by a horrific crash that resulted in millions of Americans losing their homes and devastating the economy. But instead of learning our lessons from that disaster, we are repeating history instead.

It is happening again.  More than a decade ago, we witnessed an absolutely unprecedented “housing bubble” in the United States followed by a horrific crash that resulted in millions of Americans losing their homes and a financial catastrophe on Wall Street that we still talk about today.  But instead of learning our lessons from that disaster, we are repeating history instead.  

The “housing bubble” that we are currently experiencing is far larger than the one that burst in 2008, and everyone knew that if mortgage rates rose high enough it could cause the bubble to burst.  Unfortunately, that is precisely what is taking place.  The average 30 year fixed mortgage rate was sitting at 2.67 percent in December 2020, and now it has risen to 5.30 percent.  

In case you are bad at math, that means that the average 30 year fixed mortgage rate has roughly doubled, and that is extremely bad news for the housing market.

The combination of rapidly rising prices and soaring interest rates means that homes have become far less affordable these days.

According to CNN, U.S. home prices have jumped almost 21 percent compared to a year ago…

It’s understandable that homeowners, in particular, might be worried about a potential housing market crash — 2008 is our most recent example of what can happen after an incredible run-up in home values. And we’ve never seen a market hotter than this one. The typical US home is worth nearly 21% more than it was just a year ago, a record that’s been reset each of the past 12 months.

Meanwhile, mortgage rates have gone absolutely nuts.  According to Freddie Mac, the average 30 year fixed mortgage rate went from 2.97 percent last April to 5.11 percent this April.

That is a seismic shift.

As a result of this shift, the typical monthly payment for someone buying a home went from $1,124 in December 2020 to $1,742 in April 2022.  That represents a whopping 55 percent increase…

Here’s how the numbers look for the typical home in the U.S.: The median price for a home has risen from $309,200 in December 2020 to $357,300.

Over that same period, interest rates rose from 2.67% to 5.08% this week. With a 10% down payment, that has pushed the monthly payment up from $1,124 to $1,742 — a whopping 55% increase. That’s upward of $600 a month on that $357,000 home. That’s the impact of higher prices together with rising rates.

And the truth is that the typical monthly payment is even higher here in May, because the average 30 year fixed mortgage rate has shot up to 5.30 percent…

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 5.3% the second week of May, according to the government-backed mortgage buyer Freddie Mac. That’s the highest it’s been since 2009. Six months ago, mortgage rates were in the 3% range.

This is the highest that mortgage rates have been since July 2009.

And in July 2009 we were living through the aftermath of the worst housing crash in all of U.S. history.

Will the coming collapse be even worse?

Data that is coming in for the month of April seems to indicate that the market is already starting to crack…

As data trickles in for April, it’s becoming clear that the historically hot housing market has flipped trajectories. It’s now in cooling mode. The number of homes listed for sale is rising again. Fewer shoppers are scheduling tours. And Redfin reports 15% of home sellers in April cut their asking price–up from 9% a year ago.

And it appears that things could rapidly get even worse.

The following quotes from industry insiders were recently posted on Zero Hedge…

Washington DC builder: “Traffic half what it was in March. Worried about first time buyers. Many fewer REAL buyers than number of people collected on interest list last 6 months. Certainly more attempts [from buyers] to negotiate.”

Seattle builder: “Pause by a large population of buyers. To achieve our desired [sales] pace, we had to make price adjustments. Rates starting to knock people out of qualification.”

Riverside San Bernardino builder: “Cancellations are starting to creep up due to loan declines and job losses. Waiting lists are certainly smaller. Saw an immediate change in buyer behavior when rates climbed over 5%.”

Los Angeles builder: “Buyers who are stretching to purchase have become more cautious.”

San Diego builder: “Buyers are definitely a bit more edgy.”

The market has clearly peaked, and now we are getting ready for the long ride downhill.

And it won’t be pretty.

If the Federal Reserve wanted to support the housing market, it would keep interest rates low, but the Federal Reserve has decided not to do that.

Instead, the Federal Reserve is recklessly raising interest rates because it is so scared of inflation.

The Fed has warned us that more rate increases are on the way in the months ahead, and that will undoubtedly push mortgage rates even higher.

When asked if he could engineer a “soft landing”, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was very honest about the fact that he could not guarantee one…

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned Thursday that getting inflation under control could cause some economic pain but remains his top priority.

Powell said he couldn’t promise a so-called soft landing for the economy as the Fed raises interest rates to tamp down price increases running near their fastest pace in more than 40 years.

If a plane does not have a “soft landing”, what kind of landing does it have?

Needless to say, the only other options are a bumpy landing or a crash.

Sadly, it appears that our housing market is in for either a bumpy landing or a crash as well.

And considering how much larger this housing bubble is compared to all other U.S. housing bubbles throughout history, I would say that the odds of a crash are really quite high.

The party was fun while it lasted, but now it has come to a screeching halt.

I hope that you are prepared for what comes next.

Originally published at The Economic Collapse Blog – reposted with permission.

********************************

Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel > Quotes > Quotable Quote

― Georg Hegel

“We learn from history that we do not learn from history.”

 Watching for Christ’s Return

Christians are not looking for the rise of the Antichrist. We are not looking for apostasy. We are not looking for the Great Tribulation or even the Mark of the Beast. We are looking for the Christ.

Maranatha, Pastor Steve <><


 
May 14, 2022
Watching for Christ’s Return
“Watch therefore: for ye know not what hour your Lord doth come….Therefore be ye also ready: for in such an hour as ye think not the Son of man cometh.” (Matthew 24:42, 44)

Those who try to predict Christ’s return may become skeptical about biblical prophecy. But this would be a sad mistake. Regardless of just when it will happen, Christ will return, for so He promised, and He cannot either lie or fail. He has repeatedly made it plain that no one can determine the date of His coming. Not even He, while in His human limitations, knew that (Mark 13:32).

Again and again He urged us to watch and be ready for His return. He did not tell us to watch for the Antichrist or the revival of Rome’s empire or a great apostasy or a great revival or a world government or anything else—just for Him! Note some of His commands to do this (in addition to the two in our text).

“Take ye heed, watch and pray, for ye know not when the time is” (Mark 13:33).

“Watch ye therefore:…Lest coming suddenly, he find you sleeping” (Mark 13:35-36).

“Watch therefore, for ye know neither the day nor the hour wherein the Son of man cometh” (Matthew 25:13).

In addition to such exhortations by the Lord Himself, the apostles also sounded similar warnings.

“Unto them that look for him shall he appear the second time without sin unto salvation” (Hebrews 9:28).

“Abide in him; that, when he shall appear, we may have confidence, and not be ashamed before him at his coming” (1 John 2:28).

Space limitations preclude listing others, but again in the words of Christ: “And what I say unto you I say unto all, Watch” (Mark 13:37). HMM

Joe Biden The Swamp Puppet, Is Destroying America

Inflation, illegal immigration, allegations of domestic terrorism — is Biden trying to lead our country or destroy it?

BIDEN WATCH

Joe Biden Versus We the People

Inflation, illegal immigration, allegations of domestic terrorism — is Biden trying to lead our country or destroy it?

by JOSH HAMMER

May 12, 2022, 11:43 PM

President Biden signs bill to provide support for Ukraine, May 9, 2022 (NBC News/YouTube)

Sign Up to receive Our Latest Updates!
REGISTER

Hot Off
The Press

CHOOSE LIFE

Roe and the Culture of Death

by RICK MARSCHALL

POLITICAL HAY

Corrupt Jan. 6 Committee Issues Subpoenas to GOP Congressmen

by JEFFREY LORD

SPORTS ARENA

The Last Shot

by TOM RAABE

IN PRINT SPRING 2022

Blame Biden

by MELISSA MACKENZIE

ARTS AND LETTERS

Andy Warhol and the Art World’s Meaningless Game of Monopoly

by BRUCE BAWER

Subscription

Last June, the Biden administration unveiled its “National Strategy for Countering Domestic Terrorism.” Despite its anodyne-sounding name, the “National Strategy” was anything but anodyne. The pamphlet represented the logical culmination of the Left’s cynical use of the Jan. 6, 2021, U.S. Capitol riot as a means of ginning up large-scale, nationwide anti-Republican/anti-Trump voter sentiment. The result, evinced again by Attorney General Merrick Garland’s disgraceful October 2021 memo directing the FBI to intrude on local school board meetings and crack down on anti–critical race theory parental revolts, has been a roiling cold war waged by the ruling class against us “deplorables” and our political “wrong-think.”

Now, seven months after Garland’s infamous Oct. 4 memo, the better question to ask is not whether President Joe Biden is engaged in a cold war merely against the “deplorables.” We know the answer to that: yes. Instead, the more relevant question is whether the Biden administration is now engaged in a cold war against a broader target: the entire American citizenry. The answer to that question, based on all relevant data and metrics, seems to be the same: yes.

Let’s review.

Most obvious and perhaps most important, inflation — which the Federal Reserve finally recently conceded is not “transitory” but here to stay for a while — is now the highest it has been in four decades. The Consumer Price Index increased 8.3 percent in April on an annualized basis — slightly lower than March’s 8.5 percent clip, but still painfully above the Fed’s 2 percent target. Biden has recently declared fighting inflation to be his top domestic priority, but he shows no appetite for curbing the mass inflationary deficit spending that has characterized his presidency. Nor has Biden communicated to Fed Chair Jerome Powell that he is prepared to accommodate the drastic interest rate hikes that are now necessary to bring inflation back under control. (READ MORE: Inflation Can’t Be Censored)

Biden is also looking to “fight” inflation — a de facto regressive tax that eats away everyone’s savings, but hits lower- and middle-class earners the hardest — in all the wrong places. The traditional economic definition of inflation is too much money chasing too few goods, but Democrats seem wholly uninterested in working with Republicans on the sort of industrial policy measures needed to immediately revamp domestic production. On the contrary, Biden’s priorities are completely backward.

Amidst this carnage to Americans’ savings and retirement accounts, it is unfathomable for the administration to further restrict domestic energy production.

Amidst unprecedented — and potentially lethal — shortages in baby formula, he has not acted swiftly to either invoke the Defense Production Act to ramp up domestic production (after his own FDA shut down a baby formula production facility) or temporarily lift the import tariffs that have helped cartelize the domestic baby formula market. At the same time, Biden has openly mused about ending the Trump administration’s signature tariffs on China. But all that would accomplish is make the median American consumer even more dependent on our geopolitical arch-foe. Fed-driven monetary policy aside, the way to fight inflation on the fiscal side is to accelerate production — not to fortify China’s cheap-labor sword of Damocles that dangles over the American economy.

Perhaps most revealing, as reported by the Washington Examiner, Rep. Kat Cammack (R-Florida) tweeted photos appearing to show “[s]helves and pallets packed with baby formula” at holding facilities for illegal aliens. This, of course, while actual U.S. citizen parents are frantically scrambling from store to store to ensure their babies don’t starve.

Translation: Illegal aliens rule the roost.

But it’s not just the open-borders/pro-illegal alien lobby that plays our ruling class like a fiddle; it’s also the zealots in the environmentalist movement. During the same week that nearly 30 states are reporting all-time highs for average gas price at the pump, the Biden administration has canceled offshore oil and natural gas leases in both Alaska and the Gulf of Mexico. But Biden has simultaneously admitted that energy accounts for a whopping 60 percent of the inflation Americans are now experiencing. Higher fuel prices for trucks and tractors, after all, trickle down and affect all goods and foodstuffs farmed and shipped.

Amidst this carnage to Americans’ savings and retirement accounts, it is unfathomable for the administration to further restrict domestic energy production. The only effect of such restrictions, intended to appease the greenie and Malthusian radicals who increasingly dominate the Democratic donor base, is to make Americans even more energy-dependent on such human rights bastions as Venezuela and Saudi Arabia. Our ruling class, full of virtue-signaling electric car owners, no doubt sleeps well at night as normal gasoline-dependent Americans get annihilated at the pump.

Meanwhile, Congress is racing to pass an emergency $40 billion appropriation in aid to Ukraine, a faraway land now roiling in its fourth calendar month of a crippling humanitarian crisis but hardly a pressing domestic concern. Post–Maidan Revolution Ukraine is a well-known playground for venal slush funds and parochial NGO interests, but that apparently did not give the U.S. House any pause in reviewing the legislation to minimize any gratuitous pork; it rapidly passed Congress’s lower chamber by a lopsided tally of 368-57.

The situation in Ukraine is tragic — but so is the situation at the porous U.S.–Mexico border, which has been completely overrun in recent months by transnational drug cartel–trafficked illegal migrants. Those migrants and cartels are incentivized to make and orchestrate the hazardous journey north due to the Biden administration’s various amnesty magnets, such as its return of Obama-era “catch-and-release” policy for illegal aliens in the U.S. interior.

Translation: Ukraine’s border with Russia matters more than America’s own border with Mexico.

It is difficult to recall the last time a U.S. president persistently acted in a manner so contrary to the interests of the average citizen to whom that president purportedly takes a constitutional oath to protect and defend. Fortunately, Biden’s historically low approval ratings hint at a ballot box remedy for our national woes: A red wave beckons this fall.

To find out more about Josh Hammer and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.

The Sword Of The Lord ~ Dr. Shelton Editor ~ April 29, 2022

Judges 7:20 King James Version (KJV)
And the three companies blew the trumpets, and brake the pitchers, and held the lamps in their left hands, and the trumpets in their right hands to blow withal: and they cried, The sword of the Lord, and of Gideon.

An Independent Christian Publication, Standing for the Verbal Inspiration of the Bible, the Deity of Christ, His Blood Atonement, Salvation by Faith, New Testament Soul Winning and the Premillennial Return of Christ; Opposing Modernism (Liberalism), Worldliness and Formalism.

The Amen Corner

Mother, having finally tucked a small boy into bed after an unusual trying day: “Well, I’ve worked today from son-up to son-down!”

Maybe if we just paid a little more attention, history wouldn’t have to repeat itself.

Some people don’t have to turn out the light to be in the dark.

Yesterday is a cancelled check; tomorrow is a promissory note; today is the only cash you have, so spend it wisely.

I learn, as the years roll onward And leave the past behind, That much I had counted sorrow But proved that God is kind, That many a flower I’d longed for Had hidden a thorn of pain And many a rugged bypath Led to fields of ripened grain. The clouds that cover the sunshine, They cannot banish the sun; And the earth shines out the brighter When the weary rain is done. We must stand in the deepest shadow To see the clearest light And often through wrong’s own darkness Comes the welcome strength of right.

He who completes his task assigned by Heaven, Who wins unfading laurels for his brow, Will heed the Great Commander’s orders given To watch and pray and work for others now. -Mrs. A. N. Loper

If you tried to write down half His gifts to you, your hand would tire long before you had done. You might easily make a list of gifts given to you by others, but you could not make a list of what God gives you every day of your life. -Frances Ridley Havergal

You may juggle human laws, you may fool with human courts, but there is a judgment to come and from it there is no appeal. -Orin Philip Gifford

All the umpires together have not put as many ballplayers out of the game as Old Man Booze. -Connie Mack, Philadelphia Athletics MLB Manager for fifty years

Some people think God does not like to be troubled with our constant coming and asking. The way to trouble God is not to come at all. -D. L. Moody

Without absolutes revealed from without by God Himself, we are left rudderless in a sea of conflicting ideas about manners, justice and right and wrong, issuing from a multitude of self-opinionated thinkers. -John Owen

One of the main problems in local churches is that so many people are not looking for the rapture. We must face this when we see the children of light resembling the children of darkness. They talk like them, walk like them, think like them; and sometimes it is difficult to see a fine line of distinction between the children of light and the children of darkness. You can’t but wonder if those who say they are saved but are still embroiled in the darkness are really children of the light! -Bob Kelley

Is An EU Army On The Horizon?

Ironically, it is the totally inept President Joe Biden who is paving the way for unity in Europe vs. Russia. A configuration of European nations has to fill the vacuum that Biden created. In Christ, Pastor Steve <><

Breaking News Updates – May 12, 2022
Is An EU Army On The Horizon?
 BY KIT KNIGHTLY/ACTIVIST POST MAY 11, 2022
The pieces of the EU Army already exist, they just needed a reason to be assembled. And thanks the US’s “chaotic” withdrawal from Afghanistan, and Russia’s “Special Operation” in Ukraine, it looks like they’ve got one.

The special “Future of the EU” Conference came to a conclusion a few days ago.

There may have been a familiar veneer of “public consultation”, but the aim of the conference was simple: tell the EU to do what they’ve already been planning to do for years.

If that wasn’t clear from the outset, it became unavoidably obvious a couple of days ago when the conference’s list of 49 “recommendations” was published on April 27th.

We have picked out some of the more troubling ones to discuss.

There’s number 21, for example, which suggests:

that the EU improve its capacity to take speedy and effective decisions, notably in Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP), speaking with one voice and acting as a truly global player, projecting a positive role in the world and making a difference in response to any crisis

This sentiment is repeated in Number 39, where the conference claims there is a need to…

Improve the EU’s decision-making process in order to ensure the EU’s capability to act, while taking into account the interests of all Member States and guaranteeing a transparent and understandable process for the citizens

And they intend to do that by changing the voting system…

All issues decided by way of unanimity should be decided by way of a qualified majority

Taken together these measures would pretty much eradicate the national veto, and see member states potentially subject to legislation imposed against their will. A huge knock to national sovereignty.

They also want to:

strengthen the role of the High Representative to ensure that the EU speaks with one voice

Which is a roundabout way of saying “centralizing power”.

Most concerning, though, is recommendation 23:

We propose that the EU continue to act to promote dialogue and guarantee peace and a rules-based international order,36 strengthening multilateralism and building on long-standing EU peace initiatives which contributed to its award of the Nobel Prize in 2012, while strengthening its common security

Which sounds harmless enough (apart from the shameless self-congratulatory reference to the Nobel Peace Prize), except they intend to achieve these ends using a new EU Army…

The EU’s joint armed forces that shall be used for self-defense purposes and preclude aggressive military action of any kind, with a capacity to provide support in times of crises including natural catastrophes. Outside European borders it could be deployed in exceptional circumstances preferably under a legal mandate from the UN Security Council and thus in compliance with international law38, and without competing with or duplicating NATO and respecting different national relationships with NATO and undertaking an assessment of EU relations with NATO in the context of the debate on the EU’s strategic autonomy.

A potential EU Army has been a talking point for years, but most often simply dismissed as Euro-sceptics scaremongering. In fact, further down in point 21, the conference adds:

The EU should reflect on how to counter disinformation and propaganda in an objective and factual way

Somewhat ironic, because as recently 2 or 3 years ago, the “EU Army” itself was described as “misinformation”. A “lie” spread by “Brexiteers” according to the Guardian, or “as true as saying Elvis lives” according to Emily Thornberry.

Following the Brexit vote, everyone from Politico to the Atlantic Council was attempting to dispel the “myth” of the EU Army.

The EU itself published an article on their official site debunking the “EU Army myth” in June of 2019.

Then, just last month, the EU voted to create a “rapid reaction military force” of 5000 troops.

Funny how things change.

Now, all the outlets which had previously “fact-checked” the idea of an EU Army, or dismissed it as a “conspiracy theory” are discussing its existence as more or less inevitable.

Foreign Policy asks “Is an EU Army coming?”, while This Week is weighing the pros and cons, and the New European suggests “Maybe we need an EU Army after all”.

This might seem like a sudden volte-face, but to anyone paying attention it is anything but surprising.

Despite the waves of propaganda calling the plan a myth, the fact of the matter is that prominent political voices from Macron to Merkel to Juncker have been calling for an EU Army for years.

The years-old agenda was given new life by the US’s withdrawal from Afghanistan. The carefully-engineered shambles was said to “highlight the need for an autonomous European military”.

The story was that the US had withdrawn in chaos and abandoned their native allies, and an EU military – filled with happy-clappy European empathy, not heartless American pragmatism – would have stayed longer and air-lifted more people to safety.

These rumblings grew louder after Russia launched its “special operation” in Ukraine, with Foreign Policy claiming the “war in Ukraine has turned the EU into a serious military player”, and Investigate Europe pointing out that “Putin is doing more to bolster European military unity than decades of EU initiatives”.

Outside of the propaganda narratives, though, the pure and simple truth is that the EU Army is already a semi-reality.

As this article in the Defense Post points out, “the framework of a unified European military is already in place”.

EuroCorps has existed since 1992, and is described as “a force for the EU and NATO”. Essentially it’s a link between the NATO command structure and the EU. It’s a token force, and barely used, but sits there waiting to be adapted and expanded.

The Berlin Plus Agreement, signed between NATO and the EU in 2002, permits the EU to draw on NATO resources (Vehicles, weapons etc) to participate in conflicts in which NATO chose not to participate.

In 2018 the EU launched the European Intervention Initiative,

Only last March, the EU launched their new “Strategic Compass” initiative, alongside creating the “European Peace Facility”, a 5 BILLION Euro “off-budget” project designed to “enhance the EU’s ability to act as a global security provider”.

You can see how these documents allow for a smooth segue from “NATO-backed US Imperialism” to “EU Peacekeeping” in the geopolitical narrative.

The EU Army will be sold to the US as “European partners stepping up to the plate” and taking some of the burden of “policing the world”, while in the EU/UK it will be billed as the EU “asserting its independence from US foreign policy”. Neither will be true.

It might signal a genuine change in the paradigm, a relocation of the seat of power further East as the crumbling US is abandoned and the heart of global hegemony shifts towards the EU. Maybe.

Either way, the end result will be the same people spending our money on the same weapons, pursuing the same policies, telling the same lies…just with a new name over the door.

That was always the plan.

The pieces of the EU Army already exist, they just needed a reason to be assembled.

And thanks the US’s “chaotic” withdrawal from Afghanistan, and Russia’s “Special Operation” in Ukraine, it looks like they’ve got one.

“What happened in Afghanistan was a defining moment,” said Nathalie Loiseau, who chairs the European Parliament’s subcommittee on security and defense.

When President Biden failed to keep U.S. troops in Afghanistan past the Aug. 31 deadline, European leaders felt this forced them to end their evacuation efforts early, despite thousands of citizens and allies still trying to escape the country.

Some of Europe’s most prominent politicians have argued for years that to become a true global power, the E.U. needs its own defense force, one that is independent of the U.S.-European NATO alliance and does not rely on the United States.

Former President of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, has suggested Europe transform itself into what he called a “superpower” that could act as a “global security power”. He went on to say, “the Americans, to whom we owe much… will not ensure the security of the Europeans in the long term. We have to do this ourselves….”

“The only way forward is to combine our forces and strengthen not only our capacity, but also our will to act,” Borrell said following a meeting of E.U. defense ministers in Slovenia.

French President Emmanuel Macron is one of the biggest supporters of more integration and has been calling for a “true European army” since he took power.

Armin Laschet of Germany said recently that Europe must be strengthened “such that we never have to leave it up to Americans.

The idea of an EU army idea has been around since the days of Churchill and seems to be revived every decade.  While most attempts have failed there are some followers of Bible Prophecy who see the potential for a future 10 nation alliance out of Europe to fulfill the prophecies of the Book of Daniel & Revelation in which a 10 nation alliance from Europe (the Beast of Revelation) becomes the seat of power for the Antichrist on his way to global domination.

Some have speculated about whether these prophecies in Revelation refer to 10 nations, 10 world regions, or simply 10 leaders. When the European Union first emerged and eventually grew to 10 member nations, prophecy students were sitting up and taking notice, until the EU grew past 10 nations (current EU members total 27 nations). Then the excitement died down considerably as Europe failed to demonstrate any united military capability.

Now with talk of a fresh desire to merge military co-operation, people are starting to pay attention again.  Especially as it coincides with so many other important prophetic events happening such as the shadow war between Iran & Israel, the players for Ezekiel 38 all in alignment (including Afghanistan), the advancement of technology that could fulfill the mark of the beast, natural disasters, the global impact of disease and the list goes on and on. 

There are more questions and speculation than anything else at this point regarding the future of the European Union but with so many prophetic events converging at this time it is time to be paying attention more now than ever before.

Learn more about what the Bible says about our prophetic future from some of the world’s top prophecy scholars at the Homeward Bound Prophecy Conference.  Participate from anywhere in the world via livestream.  A special discount is available for PNW subscribers by entering “PNW2022” at the checkout page.  Conference details click here

The Currency Reset Is Coming – 90% Of Nations Planning Digital Currency  

Once cash is removed, governments will be in charge of every monetary transaction in existence. Governments are already demanding personal information from banks. The noose is tightening. Another giant step towards a cashless society and the Mark of the Beast.

Maranatha, The Lord Is Coming Pastor Steve <><

Breaking News Updates – May 10, 2022

BY KIT KNIGHTLY/ACTIVIST POST MAY 10, 2022

A new report from the Bank for International Settlements estimates that up to 90% of national central banks are at least in the planning stages for launching a central bank digital currency (CBDC):

Nine out of 10 central banks are exploring central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and more than half are now developing them or running concrete experiments. In particular, work on retail CBDCs has moved to more advanced stages

This echoes a March report from the IMF, which claimed over one hundred nations are at least in the planning stages of releasing their own CBDC.

You can read the entire IMF report here, or a summary published by Bloomberg here.

It seems programs of government-issued digital money have been gaining momentum all around the world since at least 2020, and apparently, now they exist in over half the countries on the planet.

The newest of these – Brazil and Namibia – announced their plans only last month.

As with all globalist agendas, the push for CBDCs is always part of ‘the current thing’.

First, it was a response to Covid. Then they could help us halt climate change. Then they’re a response to the war in Ukraine.

Using that method they have moved from a barely-discussed fringe idea to regular mainstream coverage and 90% of the world trying them out, all within the space of a couple of years.

Interestingly, while CBDCs are being talked about more and more, there is one specific feature of them which is being talked about less and less: Programmability.

Programmability is a major feature of digital currency which would allow the issuer to set limits and controls over its use.

Essentially, any CBDC would give either the state, the central bank or the corporation issuing the money as wages the power to control how and where the money is spent.

The end of economic freedom is coming and it’s coming soon on a global scale.

******************************

Revelation 13:16-18 King James Version

16 And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their foreheads:

17 And that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.

18 Here is wisdom. Let him that hath understanding count the number of the beast: for it is the number of a man; and his number is Six hundred threescore and six.

Bible prophecy scholars have long warned that the scripture foretells a day when a global leader (AKA The Antichrist) will be able to control what you buy and sell with his ‘mark’.  The idea that money itself could be programmable so that only those ‘loyal’ can spend it or restricting the ability of commercial transactions to those with religious or political allegiance is a scary layer to this future scenario that is only now revealing itself.

Learn more about what the Bible says about our prophetic future from some of the world’s top prophecy scholars at the Homeward Bound Prophecy Conference.  Participate from anywhere in the world via livestream.  A special discount is available for PNW subscribers by entering “PNW2022” at the checkout page.  Conference details click here

Why Are The Planet’s Most Dangerous Regimes All Making Nuclear Threats?

The Great Tribulation period is lining up quickly. Russia, China, Iran and North Korea are saber rattling and they mean it. The feckless Joe Biden is emboldening both Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. They have their sights set on the Ukraine and Taiwan respectively. Parroting each other, they have clearly stated that if they cannot conquer these countries through conventional warfare, then nuclear armaments are on the table and will be used. These leaders are stark raving mad. This kind of insanity is unprecedented in the nuclear age going back to 1945. Even during the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, both John F. Kennedy and Nikita Khrushchev had a mutual respect for each other and realized that nuclear armaments were not an option. The entire world is going to soon plummet into oblivion. Are you ready? Are you saved? Maranatha, Pastor Steve <><

Breaking News Updates – May 10, 2022
BY GORDAN CHANG/GATESTONE INSTITUTE MAY 10, 2022

In line with Western thinking, presidents and prime ministers have almost always ignored nuclear threats, hoping not to dignify them. Unfortunately, this posture has only emboldened the threat-makers to make more threats.

On May 1, on Russian TV, the media executive often called “Putin’s mouthpiece” urged the Russian president to launch a Poseidon underwater drone with a “warhead of up to 100 megatons.” The detonation, said Dmitry Kiselyov, would create a 1,640-foot tidal wave that would “plunge Britain to the depths of the ocean.” The wave would reach halfway up England’s tallest peak, Scafell Pike.

“This tidal wave is also a carrier of extremely high doses of radiation,” Kiselyov pointed out. “Surging over Britain, it will turn whatever is left of them into radioactive desert, unusable for anything. How do you like this prospect?”

“A single launch, Boris, and there is no England anymore,” said Kiselyov, addressing the British prime minister.

The threat followed one on April 28 made by Aleksey Zhuravlyov, chairman of Russia’s pro-Kremlin Rodina Party. On the “60 Minutes” program carried on Channel One, Russian TV, he urged Putin to nuke Britain with a Sarmat, the world’s largest and heaviest missile.

The program noted that a missile launched from Russia’s Kaliningrad enclave would take 106 seconds to hit Berlin, 200 seconds to reach Paris, and 202 seconds to obliterate London.

The NATO designation of the Sarmat is “Satan II.”

Putin himself has gotten in on the fun. Just before sending his forces across Ukraine’s border, he warned of “consequences you have never encountered in your history.” On February 27, he put his nuclear forces on high alert. 

On March 1, the Russian leader actually sortied his ballistic missile submarines and land-based mobile missile launchers in what was called a drill. On May 4, the Russian Defense Ministry announced “electronic launches” in Kaliningrad of its nuclear-capable Iskander mobile ballistic missile.

Russia has a nuclear doctrine known as “escalate to deescalate” or, more accurately, “escalate to win,” which contemplates threatening or using nuclear weapons early in a conventional conflict.

China, which on February 4 issued a joint statement with Russia about their no-limits partnership, has this century been periodically making unprovoked threats to destroy the cities of states that have somehow offended it. 

In July of last year, for instance, the Chinese regime threatened to nuke Japan over its support for Taiwan. In September, China issued a similar threat against Australia because it had joined with the U.S. and U.K. in the AUKUS pact, an arrangement to maintain stability in the region. 

This March, China’s Ministry of Defense promised the “worst consequences” for countries helping Taiwan defend itself. The threat appeared especially directed against Australia.

This month, North Korea said that, in addition to using nuclear weapons to retaliate against an attack, it might launch nukes to attack others.

It cannot be a good sign that Russia, China, and North Korea at the same time are threatening to launch the world’s most destructive weaponry.

Why are the planet’s most dangerous regimes all making such threats?

First, Putin showed the world these warnings in fact intimidate. As Hudson Institute senior fellow Peter Huessy told me in March, escalating to win assumes nuclear threats will “coerce an enemy to stand down and not fight.” Because the Western democracies have largely stood down and are clearly not fighting in Ukraine, Beijing and Pyongyang want similar successes.

Second, Putin and Chinese ruler Xi Jinping could make such threats because they do not respect nations perceived as enemies. “The bungled withdrawal from Afghanistan and the unwillingness to effectively support Ukraine since our 1994 guarantee and especially over the past year have led nuclear-armed enemies to ratchet up threats to the U.S. and its allies,” Huessy, also president of GeoStrategic Analysis, said to Gatestone at the beginning of this month. “They sense a growing American weakness.”

“Like Vladimir Putin, the Communist Party of China has lost its fear of American power,” Richard Fisher of the Virginia-based International Assessment and Strategy Center said to me shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “China’s nuclear threats expose the Party’s arrogance in the face of perceived American weakness, expose the risk of the lack of a U.S. regional nuclear deterrent, and expose the inadequacy of U.S. leadership.”

Third, internal considerations may make such threats easy to make. Many say the most dangerous moment since World War II was the Cuban Missile Crisis of October 1962. Perhaps even more perilous was the Checkpoint Charlie standoff in Berlin the preceding October. Yet both Kennedy and Khrushchev knew there must never be a nuclear exchange. The issue today is whether Putin and Xi know that as well. Maybe they do not.

These threats may reveal that the leaders of these regimes share a last-days-in-the-bunker mentality. Both Russia and China, albeit in different ways, are ruled by regimes in distress, which means their leaders undoubtedly have low thresholds of risk.

Whatever the reason for the threats, Putin and Xi have told everyone what they intend to do. Unfortunately, Western leaders are determined not to believe them.

In response to Russian threats, President Joe Biden on February 28 said the American people should not worry about nuclear war. On the contrary, there is every reason to worry.

In line with Western thinking, presidents and prime ministers have almost always ignored nuclear threats, hoping not to dignify them. Unfortunately, this posture has only emboldened the threat-makers to make more threats. The later the international community confronts belligerent Russians, Chinese, and North Koreans, the more dangerous the confrontations will be.

The world, therefore, looks like it is fast approaching the worst moment in history.

“A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought,” Biden stated in June of last year. Maybe. Putin, who jointly issued those words with the American president, may think he can wage one and even win.

Originally published at Gatestone Institute – reposted with permission.

Collapse Of A Christian Worldview By Parents Has Infected Next Generation

I joked with our parishioners last Sunday that if I had a quarter for everyone in attendance under the age of 55, that I couldn’t buy 1/2 gallon of gas. Yes, the United States of America is devoid of a Biblical / Christian worldview. The stage is indeed set for the Antichrist, as people will stand in line in order to be first to receive the Mark of the Beast! (Revelation 13:16-18) Maranatha, Pastor Steve <><

Breaking News Updates – May 07, 2022
BY GEORGE BARNA/FAMILY RESEARCH COUNCIL  MAY 6, 2022

The statistics are appalling. Among American parents of children under age 13, only two percent have a biblical worldview, and even among self-identified born-again Christians, the number is only eight percent. So, if a biblical worldview isn’t dominant, what is?

“Kids these days” are shaped by watching their parents. That’s the takeaway from the Cultural Research Center (CRC) at Arizona Christian University’s latest survey. “Young children are watching their parents. They’re listening to their parents, and they’re trying to put those two things together,” said George Barna, CRC Director and FRC Senior Research Fellow for the Center for Biblical Worldview. 

“The problem is, they’re seeing a contradiction between word and deed. The conclusion we discovered that children draw is, ‘what a shame. My parents seem as confused as I am. So, this faith that they’re talking about must not have the answers.'”

The statistics are appalling. Among American parents of children under age 13, only two percent have a biblical worldview, and even among self-identified born-again Christians, the number is only eight percent. “Between 15 to 18 months of age is when most children start forming their worldview,” explained Barna on Washington Watch. 

“By the age of 13, it’s almost completely in place.” Barna’s worldview research discerns the presence of a biblical worldview with questions about biblical inerrancy, the character of God, the life of Christ, absolute moral truth, and salvation by faith.

Just because parents aren’t consciously building their children’s worldview doesn’t mean one isn’t forming. “A child needs a worldview, so if we don’t help them develop it, somebody else will.” Barna’s research found “four major influences on worldview”: public schools, media, arts and entertainment, and “the laws of the land… because that’s what teaches us right from wrong partly.”

So, if a biblical worldview isn’t dominant, what is? “More than nine out of 10 parents of preteens (94 percent) have a syncretistic worldview — a grab bag of beliefs and behaviors taken from a variety of philosophies of life,” said Barna. “Most parents mix some biblical ideals with… Marxism to Eastern mysticism and everything in between.” 

Throw in a little Marxism there, a bit of Eastern mysticism there, season generously with nationalism, stir in a dollop of post-modernism, and garnish with secular environmentalism — and parents have concocted for their own worldview and their children’s a witch’s brew more poisonous than nutritious. God does not accept syncretistic worship (Exodus 34:14).

Part of the problem is the teaching in churches, neither equipping children with a biblical worldview, nor empowering parents to do so. “We’re telling them Bible stories, but not teaching them biblical truths,” lamented Perkins. Instead of teaching the Bible and worshiping God, Barna added, churches are busy measuring the “numbers of people showing up.” 

Sure, a brief, flashy performance might draw a crowd for now. But if churches neglect the core distinctives of Christianity, why should anyone bother even showing up for the long haul? If church becomes merely a forum for social interaction, families may as well spend their Sunday on the lake, at a cookout, or at the ballpark.

Community outreach is fine, even necessary. But churches can’t stop there. Perkins shared his own childhood experience in an unchurched home, and then attending Vacation Bible School. He came for the cookies and stayed for eternal life. “I’m grateful that the church I was in… taught the Scripture. And so I developed that biblical worldview.” 

The church didn’t just teach Tony; his whole family was saved as a result. “I can recall my dad reading Our Daily Bread and the Bible,” Perkins continued. “I saw the Bible was important to him, so it became important to me.”

FRC President Tony Perkins asked Barna about the prospect for parents who lack a solid biblical foundation being able to instill on in their children, “how can you teach what you don’t have?” Barna responded that an “outsourcing approach to parenting” is not the solution, even if it is “the chief parenting strategy of most young parents today.” Hiring teachers, coaches, tutors, and pastors is risky, because who knows what behaviors they’re going to model? No, the responsibility lies squarely on parents.

“George and I are not giving our opinion,” said Perkins. “It’s God’s word. He’s the one that says parents are responsible for teaching their kids. So I can’t apologize for that.” Long before the invention of social science research techniques, God in his infinite wisdom designed a perfect mechanism for moral instruction: the family.

“A worldview isn’t just what you believe,” said Barna. “It’s also how you behave, because you do what you believe.” When confronted with the bleak outlook that Barna’s data show, we have two options. 

We can be paralyzed by anxiety and fear over what America is becoming, or we can trust that God, as always, will use these circumstances for his glory. “We have a remnant of about 15 million adults across the country that have a biblical worldview,” Barna reminded viewers. “God always uses a remnant.”

Originally published at Family Research Council – reposted with permission.

Black Lives Matter Riot in Front of Supreme Court Justices Homes for the Right to Kill Their Own Children

People who endorse the butchering of unborn babies are now illegally protesting at our Supreme Court Justices’ homes, revealing they have no respect for either life or law. No surprise. The White House intentionally allowed this to happen, and the leaks were spurred on by the DemocRATS in order to create anarchy. The DemocRATS no longer even desire to stand on our laws and accept diverse opinions. They will steal elections, defund the police, allow and encourage criminals, drug cartels and terrorists to cross over our borders, and a plethora of other means to destroy this nation. Everything this party does is illegal, since their goal is “the transformation of America,” …a phrase repeated by Barack Obama, Chuck Schummer and others. The Left are intimidating the justices through illegal threats; their desire is to get at least one judge to change their vote. The DemocRATS / Marxist goal is to create class warfare and destroy our nation. In Christ, Pastor Steve <><

by Publisher | May 9, 2022

Either Black lives actually do matter, or they don’t. But a strange yet unsurprising phenomenon is that the Black Lives Matter movement is now organizing riots in front of the Supreme Court justice’s homes in the wake of the leak revealing that the high court intends to strike down Roe v. Wade

Black Lives Matter, a terrorist organization that resembles Antifa, the KKK, and al-Qaeda in many ways, has been hell-bent on destroying Western civilization. One of its primary means of operation is to instill fear in the public by rioting, burning down cities, and public displays of horrific intimidation toward the leaders in charge of this nation.

That’s exactly what is taking place right now in front of several of the Supreme Court justice’s homes. Conservative justices, who have been identified according to the leak as the ones responsible for striking down the decades-old ruling that guaranteed the right to abortion, are now being intimidated by Black Lives Matter groups who are wreaking havoc in front of their homes.

Abortions disproportionately affect Black children. While Black women make up less than 15 percent of the population, they have roughly 28 percent of all abortions in America. One could only wonder why a group named “Black Lives Matter” would so desperately fight for the right to continue reducing their own population through such an injustice as aborting—murdering—their own children.

Here are some pictures.

We are being actively censored on many platforms because of our conservative views. The more places you follow us, the more likely we are to get our message out. Please support us by following us on Facebook, following us on Twitter, following us on Parler, following us on Instagram, and visiting our gear and apparel store. Also, please subscribe to our newsletter. If you would like to support us financially, a contribution of any amount is greatly appreciated.

Research suggests COVID jabs are actually killing more people than they save

POSTED BY MARSHA WEST ∙ MAY 6, 2022 ∙ IN OPINION ∙ CORONAVIRUS – COVID-19COVER UPDEATHDEMOCRATHEALTHRESEARCHSCIENCEUNITED STATES GOVERNMENTVACCINE ∙ BOOKMARK PERMALINK

(Life Site) – According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19.

Deaths from heart disease, high blood pressure, dementia and many other illnesses rose during that time. “We’ve never seen anything like it,” Robert Anderson, CDC’s head of mortality statistics, told The Washington Post in mid-February 2022.

According to University of Warwick researchers, “the scale of excess non-COVID deaths is large enough for it to be seen as its own pandemic.” A number of explanations have been offered, including the fact that lockdowns and other COVID restrictions discouraged or prevented people from seeking care. But another, less discussed factor may also be at play. View article →

DISCLAIMER

The conservative voice and Christian content are being silenced more and more. CRN offers a lifeline to conservative people of faith who are disgusted with Facebook, Twitter and the MSM for failing to report, even blocking, important news stories that don’t comport with the far left’s narrative. We urge you to sign up to receive our FREE need to read articles. NO ADS!  NO VIDEOS! NO POPUPS!  JUST STRAIGHT NEWS.

Join Marsha West on MeWe

WHOLE ARTICLE BELOW

LifeSiteNews

OPINION

Research suggests COVID jabs are actually killing more people than they save


I believe that in the years to come, people will look back at this time and vow to never repeat it.

Featured ImageActivists opposed to a forced vaccine hold signs in front of the Massachusetts State House on August 30, 2020 in Boston, Massachusetts Photo by Scott Eisen / Getty Images

Wed May 4, 2022 – 10:22 am EDT

STORY AT-A-GLANCE

  • According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19. Deaths from heart disease, high blood pressure, dementia and many other illnesses rose during that time
  • Across the world, death rates have also risen in tandem with COVID shot administration, with the most-jabbed areas surpassing the least-jabbed in terms of excess mortality and COVID-related deaths
  • According to Walgreens data, during the week of April 19 through 25, 2022, 13% of unvaccinated persons tested positive for COVID. Of those who received two doses five months or more ago, 23.1% tested positive, and of those who received a third dose five months or more ago, the positive rate was 26.3%. So, after the first booster shot (the third dose), people are at greatest risk of testing positive for COVID
  • K. government data show the all-cause mortality rate is between 100% and 300% greater among people who got their first COVID shot 21 days or more ago. The risk for all-cause death is also significantly elevated among those who got their second dose at least six months ago, and mildly elevated among those who got their third dose less than 21 days ago. As of January 2022, all who got one or more doses at least 21 days ago were dying at significantly elevated rates
  • Other data also show that COVID mortality rates are far higher in areas with high vaccination rates, and risk-benefit analyses reveal the jabs do more harm than good in most age groups

(Mercola) – According to U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, more than 1 million excess deaths — that is, deaths in excess of the historical average — have been recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic began two years ago, and this cannot be explained by COVID-19.

Deaths from heart disease, high blood pressure, dementia and many other illnesses rose during that time. “We’ve never seen anything like it,” Robert Anderson, CDC’s head of mortality statistics, told The Washington Post in mid-February 2022.

According to University of Warwick researchers, “the scale of excess non-COVID deaths is large enough for it to be seen as its own pandemic.” A number of explanations have been offered, including the fact that lockdowns and other COVID restrictions discouraged or prevented people from seeking care. But another, less discussed factor may also be at play.
https://rumble.com/embed/vzdouy/?pub=4
Across the world, death rates have risen in tandem with COVID shot administration, with the most-jabbed areas surpassing the least-jabbed in terms of excess mortality and COVID-related deaths. This flies in the face of official claims that the shots prevent severe COVID infection and lower your risk of death, be it from COVID or all causes.

Boosted? You’re now at highest risk of COVID

Ever since the announcement that the COVID “vaccines” would be using novel mRNA gene transfer technology, I and many others have warned that this appears to be a very bad idea.

Numerous potential mechanisms for harm have been identified and detailed in previous articles, and we’re now seeing some of our worst fears come to bear. “Fully vaccinated” individuals are both more likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 and more likely to die, whether from COVID or some other cause.

As reported by investigative journalist Jeffrey Jaxen in the April 22, 2022, Highwire video above, data from Walgreens’ COVID-19 tracker reveal that COVID-jabbed individuals are testing positive for COVID at higher rates than the unjabbed. What’s more, people who got their last shot five months or more ago have the highest risk.

As you can see in the screenshot below, during the week of April 19 through 25, 2022, 13% of unvaccinated tested positive for COVID (with Omicron being the predominant variant). (The data reviewed by Jaxen are from the week of April 10 through 16.)

Of those who received two doses five months or more ago, 23.1% tested positive, and of those who received a third dose five months or more ago, the positive rate was 26.3%. So, after the first booster shot (the third dose), people are at greatest risk of testing positive for COVID.

A deeper dive into the data reveals that two doses appear to have been protective for a short while, but after five months, it becomes net harmful. The group faring worst of all is the 12 to 17 cohort, where no one with one dose tested positive, but after the second dose, cases suddenly appear, and get higher still after five months. After the third dose, positive cases drop a bit, but then shoot up higher than ever after five months.

Deaths by vaccination status in the UK

Data sets from the U.K. government reveal an equally disturbing trend. The raw data from the Office for National Statistics is difficult to interpret, so Jaxen had data analysts create a bar graph to better illustrate what the data actually tell us. A screenshot from Jaxen’s report is below.

 SUBSCRIBE TO OUR DAILY HEADLINES US Canada Catholic

Bars going upward are a good thing, as it indicates the risk for all-cause mortality based on vaccination status is either normal or reduced. Bars that dip below zero percent are indicative of increased all-cause mortality, based on vaccination status.

As you can see, the all-cause mortality rate is between 100% and 300% greater among people who got their first dose 21 days or more ago. The risk for all-cause death is also significantly elevated among those who got their second dose at least six months ago, and mildly elevated among those who got their third dose less than 21 days ago. As of January 2022, all who got one or more doses at least 21 days ago were dying at significantly elevated rates.

More jabs, more COVID deaths

Everywhere we look, we find trends showing the COVID shots are resulting in higher death rates. Below is an animated illustration from Our World In Data, first showing the vaccination rates of South America, North America, Europe and Africa, from mid-December 2020 through the third week of April 2022, followed by the cumulative confirmed COVID deaths per million in those countries during that same timeframe.

Africa has had a consistently low vaccination rate throughout, while North America, Europe and South America all have had rapidly rising vaccination rates. Africa has also had a consistently low COVID mortality rate, although a slight rise began around September 2021. Still, it’s nowhere near the COVID death rates of North America, South America and Europe, all of which saw dramatic increases.

Here’s another one, also sourced from Our World In Data, first showing the excess death rate in the U.S. (the cumulative number of deaths from all causes compared to projections based on previous years), between January 26, 2020, and January 30, 2022, followed by an illustration of the tandem rise of vaccine doses administered and the excess mortality rate. It clearly shows that as vaccination rates rose, so did the excess mortality rate.

Risk-benefit analysis condemns the COVID jabs

At this point, we also have the benefit of more than one risk-benefit analysis, and all show that, with very few exceptions, the COVID jabs do more harm than good. For example, a risk-benefit analysis by Stephanie Seneff, Ph.D., and independent researcher Kathy Dopp, published in mid-February 2022, concluded that the COVID jab is deadlier than COVID-19 itself for anyone under the age of 50.

They looked at publicly available official data from the U.S. and U.K. for all age groups, and compared all-cause mortality to the risk of dying from COVID-19. “All age groups under 50 years old are at greater risk of fatality after receiving a COVID-19 inoculation than an unvaccinated person is at risk of a COVID-19 death,” Seneff and Dopp concluded. And for younger adults and children, there’s no benefit, only risk.

“This analysis is conservative,” the authors note, “because it ignores the fact that inoculation-induced adverse events such as thrombosis, myocarditis, Bell’s palsy, and other vaccine-induced injuries can lead to shortened life span.”

When one takes into consideration the fact that there is approximately a 90% decrease in risk of COVID-19 death if early treatment is provided to all symptomatic high-risk persons, one can only conclude that mandates of COVID-19 inoculations are ill-advised.

Considering the emergence of antibody-resistant variants like Delta and Omicron, for most age groups COVID-19 vaccine inoculations result in higher death rates than COVID-19 does for the unvaccinated.

The analysis is also conservative in the sense that it only considers COVID jab fatalities that occur within one month of injection. As demonstrated by the U.K. data above, the risk of all-cause death is nearly 300% greater for those who got a second dose at least six months ago.

Teens are at dramatic risk of death from the jabs

Similarly, an analysis of data in the U.S. Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS) by researchers Spiro Pantazatos and Herve Seligmann suggests that in those under age 18, the shots only increase the risk of death from COVID, and there’s no point at which the shot can prevent a single COVID death, no matter how many are vaccinated.

If you’re under 18, you’re a whopping 51 times more likely to die from the jab than you are to die from COVID if not vaccinated. In the 18 to 29 age range, the shot will kill 16 for every person it saves from dying from COVID, and in the 30 to 39 age range, the expected number of vaccine fatalities to prevent a single COVID death is 15.

Only when you get into the 60 and older categories do the risks between the jab and COVID infection even out. In the 60 to 69 age group, the shot will kill one person for every person it saves from dying of COVID, so it’s a tossup as to whether it might be worth it for any given person.

How many are we willing to sacrifice?

We also have a risk-benefit analysis by researchers in Germany and The Netherlands. The analysis was initially published June 24, 2021, in the journal Vaccines. The paper caused an uproar among the editorial board, with some of them resigning in protest. In the end, the journal simply retracted it — a strategy that appears to have become norm.

After a thorough re-review, the paper was republished in the August 2021 issue of Science, Public Health Policy and the Law. The analysis found that, “very likely for three deaths prevented by vaccination we will have to accept that about two people die as a consequence of these vaccinations,” the authors wrote in a Letter to the Editor of Clinical and Translational Discovery. Defending their work, they went on to note that:

“The database we based our analysis on was a large naturalistic study of the BioNTech vaccine in Israel. This was the only study at the time that allowed for a direct estimation of an absolute risk reduction (ARR) in mortality.

Admittedly, the ARR estimate was only available for a short observation period of 4 weeks after the first vaccine dose, a point raised by critics. One might have wanted a longer observation period to bring out the benefit of vaccinations more clearly, and our estimate of a number needed to vaccinate (NNV) of 16 000 to prevent one death might have been overly conservative.

The recently published 6-month interim report of the BioNTech-regulatory clinical trial now covers a period long enough to let us look at this risk benefit ratio once again. In Table S4 of this publication, 14 deaths are reported in the placebo group (n = 21 921) and 15 in the vaccination group (n = 21 926).

Among them, two deaths in the placebo-group were attributed to COVID-19, and one in the vaccination group was attributed to COVID-19 pneumonia. This leads to an ARR = 4.56 × 10–5, and conversely to an NNV = 1/ARR = 21 916 to prevent one death by COVID-19. This shows that our original estimate was not so far off the mark.

The most recent safety report of the German Paul Ehrlich Institute (PEI) that covers all reported side effects since the vaccination campaign began (27 December 2020 until 30 November 2021 … reports 0.02 deaths per 1000 BioNTech vaccinations or 2 per 100 000 vaccinations.

We had gleaned four mortality cases per 100 000 vaccinations (all vaccines) from the Dutch pharmacovigilance database LAREB. Using the data of Thomas et al., a liberal NNV = 20 000, we can calculate that by 100 000 vaccinations we save five lives.

Using the PEI pharmacovigilance report for the same product, we see that these 100 000 vaccinations are associated with two deaths, while using the LAREB database back in June 2021, they were associated with four deaths across all vaccines and are associated with two deaths in the most recent reports concerning the BioNTech vaccine … In other words, as we vaccinate 100 000 persons, we might save five lives but risk two to four deaths.”

The risk-benefit ratio may be even worse than that, though, as these calculations do not take into account the fact that passive pharmacovigilance data “are notorious for underestimating casualties and side effects,” the authors note, or the fact that severe side effects such as myocarditis are affecting young males at a staggering rate, which can reduce lifespan in the longer term.

We do not have a functioning pharmacovigilance system

In an August 2021 editorial, editor-in-chief of Science, Public Health Policy and the Law, James Lyons-Weiler, Ph.D., wrote:

“There are two messages from those who hold appointed offices or other influential positions in Public Health on long-term vaccine safety.

The first message is that long-term randomized double-blinded placebo-controlled clinical trials are not necessary for the long-term study of vaccine safety because we have ‘pharmacovigilance’; i.e. long- term post-market safety surveillance that is supported by widely accessible, passive vaccine adverse events tracking systems.

The second message is that any use of those very same vaccine adverse events tracking systems that leads to the inference or conclusion that vaccines might cause serious adverse events or death is unsupported by such systems …

When those seeking support for public health initiatives, such as a new vaccination program, offer evidence that long-term vaccine safety studies are well in hand due to the possibility of detecting adverse events that happened following vaccination, they are either:

(a) unaware that the vaccine adverse events tracking systems upon which they are basing their confidence about society’s ability to detect and track vaccine adverse events are alleged to be unable to be used to infer causal links between health outcomes and vaccination exposure, or:

(b) participating in a disinformation campaign to end scrutiny over the absence of properly controlled long-term randomized clinical trials to assess long- term vaccine safety. Neither of these is sufficient empirical basis for the knowledge claim of long- term safety …

There must be room for disagreement in science; otherwise, science does not exist. It is sad to bear witness to the fact that science has degenerated into a war against unwanted and inconvenient results, conclusions and interpretations via the process of post-publication retraction for issues other than fraud, grave error in execution, and plagiarism.

The weaponization of the process of retraction of scientific studies is well underway, and it induces a bias that could be called ‘retraction bias’, or, in the case in which a few persons haunt journals in search of studies that cast doubt on their commercial products, a ‘ghouling bias,’ which leads to biased systematic reviews and warped meta-analyses.”

In his editorial, Lyons-Weiler specifically criticized the Vaccine journal for its retraction of the risk-benefit analysis cited above, and mocked the editorial board members who quit in protest, noting that “Rage-quitting is not science.”

“The resigning editorial board members’ [] claim is that no deaths have occurred due to the vaccination program. As helpful as that claim might be to a prescribed narrative, it is not based on empirical evidence, and it is, therefore, unwarranted,” Lyons-Weiler wrote.

“From a Popperian view of science, one can see the fatal flaw in the editorial board members’ knowledge claim: if, as they insist, passive vaccine adverse events tracking systems cannot test the hypothesis of causality, then how can editorial board members, resigning or otherwise, know that the events were NOT caused by the vaccine? …

It is logical to conclude that since passive vaccine adverse event tracking systems do not lend themselves well to testing hypotheses of causality, they do not provide the opportunity to design and conduct sufficiently critical tests of causality, and therefore a replacement system is needed … one that is suitable to detect risk.”

While we may indeed need better pharmacovigilance, there’s really no doubt at this point that the COVID jabs are ill-advised for most people. I believe that in the years to come, people will look back at this time and vow to never repeat it. In the meantime, all we can do is look at and assess the data we do have, and make decisions accordingly.

Reprinted with permission from Mercola

TOPICS

TAGGED AS